Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Is it true Contagion Film has long predicted the Korona pandemic?


contagion 2011

Recently, the film Contagion (2011) directed by Steven Sodenbergh's sudden crowd was talked about. The science-fiction Film Hollywood production was called a long-time fortune-telling that the Korona virus pandemic outbreak of a new type alias Covid-19.


From the similarity of China as the initial location of the virus, it is alleged that the virus first came from the bat, to a rapid distribution rate with a lot of casualties.

Sodenbergh recognizes that the Contagion theme is inspired by the spread of two outbreaks from the Korona virus: SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrom) and MERS (Middle East Respiratory Syndrom). The two outbreaks derived from the Korona virus have infected and killed thousands of people from several countries.

However, Sodenbergh makes a slight modification. In the movie's story, a deadly virus that spreads named the Meningoencephalitis Virus One (MEV-1), which is a combination of the influenza and the Nipah virus. Symptoms that arise in patients will experience inflammation of the brain and respiratory disorders. As a result, the similarity of conditions of the current Covid-19 outbreak with the film Contagion gave birth to various speculation. As the narrative spreads through WhatsApp chain messaging. Here's the narrative:



 "Wondering!!! .. 9 years through America has made a film about Coronavirus whose content is more or less exactly the current occurrence...
An American film released in 2011 talks about the virus  "Coronavirus " which started spreading from China to the rest of the world! The most strange thing is that at the end of the film it turns out the cause of the infection is the bat, which is the same reason that the disease is spreading now! The film's name is  "Contagion " and stars Matt Damon, Jude Law, Gwyneth Paltrow & Kate Winslet.  "

Investigation:
The Film Contagion does adapt the scientific accuracy to make the storyline even more obvious. Some film musicians also give praise to the film played by a number of major artists. Nevertheless, the claim that Contagion films has predicted the occurrence of the Covid-19 pandemic, unsubstantiated.

Reported by pbg.org, PBS NewsHour media from the United States, lowered the team to perform fact-checking on Contagion film which had been booming in the United States in 2011. The team tested the film's accuracy against scientific consistency.

A group of experts from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Agency working under the coordination of the United States Department of Health and Public service, helped PBS NewsHour sort out and Test the scientific accuracy of Contagion movies. The following test results in fact:

Contagion scenario: A deadly disease in the film is modeled on a combination of influenza and viruses called Nipah, which causes inflammation of the brain and respiratory disease.

Check facts: For now-such a combination disease is a Hollywood herb and can not exist in the real world.

"Influenza and Nipah have incompatible genome that cannot be combined in nature," says CDC virus expert told NewsHour by email.

However, Nipah is a disease that actually appears in Asia (south and southeast) and can cause deadly brain inflammation in humans. The Virus killed 105 patients in a plague in Malaysia in 1999, and caused 49 deaths in India during the outbreak in 2001.

Most Nipah outbreaks have not spread widely in humans, and only produce a few cases. CDC virologist says Nipah is not very consistent with the pathogens that can cause a global pandemic (like the pandemic Covid-19). There is currently no effective treatment or vaccine for this disease.

Scenario Contagion: This Virus is very easily contagious so it spreads to new locations around the world in a few days.

Check facts: This arrangement makes sense and has happened twice, the CDC said, with the outbreak of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) in 2003 in Asia, and the H1N1 pandemic 2009. SARS spread to 13 countries on three continents in less than a month, and H1N1 spread globally in a few weeks.

Scenario Contagion: The fictional Virus reaches humans through a series of animal gatherings: bats eat the fruit then drop it into a pig's enclosure, the pig eats it, then slaughtered and handled by the chef in contact with Gwenyth Paltrow ( Cast in the film).

Check out the facts: pigs and bats are a Keladi heresy of the Nipah plague. The disease is transmitted to humans through contact with infected pigs in Malaysia and Singapore, and by consuming fruit contaminated with urine or saliva from infected bats in Bangladesh and India. Bats in particular host a great reservoir for disease, which means they can accommodate an infinite pathogen without any adverse effects.

"Contact with the bat (or contact with the host of an intermediary animal who gets an infection from the bat) is a common theme among some new human infections emerging," said CDC.

SARS, Ebola and avian influenza, are just some of the many other diseases that occur from human contact with animals. Food market and food processing is also a known pathway for the spread of disease to humans – the SARS outbreak in 2003 was traced to human contact with animals called civet cats, which were sold for food in China.

Scenario Contagion: When the disease persists, quick work by scientists leads to a vaccine that is being developed in about four months.

Check facts: In the case of a completely new virus appearing, developing a vaccine that is rapidly unlikely, the CDC said. Flu vaccines, developed every year, take at least four to six months. For new threats, identifying new viruses, formulating vaccines, and considering the safety of vaccines all will take time.

 "Assuming vaccines can be made – which could take more than 4 to 6 months, " CDC says.

Scenario Contagion: A process called contact tracking is done in a movie by investigators who try to track diseases through social network paths and interactions.

Check facts: This procedure is widely used during epidemiological investigation. It gives health authorities to know the level of exposure and is used to develop public health response in emergencies, CDC said.

Investigator will interview a patient or family member, track patient's contacts, retrace steps, filter people along the way and try to identify the source. This process is used in everything from sexually transmitted diseases, to disease transmitted by food as seen in an attempt to trace the origins of the E. coli outbreak in Europe early in 2011.

Conclusion:

Claims that the film Contagion has been Prediski the Covid-19 pandemic is unfounded. All the storyline in the film adapts to an unprecedented outbreak and pandemic with little modification.

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